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January,
2007
Mexican Peso Monthly Monitor
In December, the peso gained
1.7% (from 10.98 to 10.80 pesos/dollar). As we had anticipated,
the Mexican currency ended the year heading toward 10.70
pesos/dollar. It is worth to mention the Mexican currency
averaged 10.90 pesos/dollar in 2006, only one cent above
the 10.89 average of 2005 despite presidential elections
were held in 2006.
December,
2006
Economic Outlook
In the United States:
Spillover effects from the cooling housing market will
be larger in coming months mainly in durable goods production
and furniture and home furnishing retail sales. As the
Fed said in its most recent monetary policy meeting,
economic growth will moderate in coming months, but
it will remain out of recession ground.
In Mexico: Industrial
activity will clearer reflect the US industrial softening
in the first half of next year. Economic growth rate
will moderate during 2007. Meanwhile, recent inflationary
pressures have begun to ease. Lastly, so far this month,
the Mexican peso has gained ground against the dollar
and it could eventually head toward 10.70 pesos/dollar.

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